![]() A responsible, well-informed person will not buy a new ICE vehicle. Buying new ICE vehicle now makes you responsible for creating a problem in the future. There are edge cases where a PHEV is an acceptable alternative, but those are few and ignored in this discussion.įor internal combustion cars produced today and in the next year, the future is a total loss or forced early retirement after fast depreciation. That is why we should not add any more cars with a tailpipe to the world fleet. Not just the cars in Europe or the US or China, South Korea and Japan, but all the cars in the world must be zero emissions by 2050. Perhaps not in the country where they were sold, but somewhere around the world. Many ICE cars sold this year will still be going strong in 2050. Preferably a few years sooner - oops, that would have been in the previous decade. To get to zero emissions in 2050, the last fossil fuel vehicle should be sold at least as many years as its expected lifespan before that date. The real lifespan of a car is much longer than the average in Europe and the US. Those that die young make the life expectancy of those that reach middle age a lot longer than the average does suggest. There are many younger cars that are a total loss. A new car has an average lifespan of 23 years in Europe, and decades longer in Cuba. With current policies it will be difficult to stay within the 2☌ budget, but that is another discussion.The year 2050 is the date, and road transport is the low hanging fruit of the decarbonization. We need to reach net zero at 2050, preferably sooner and without burning the carbon budget for a 1.5☌ global temperature rise. ![]() Why a new vehicle is absolute necessary, that I am exaggerating, that I am in panic mode, that I am a nitwit, etc.Ĭall me whatever you like, but do the math yourself. ![]() Well informed buyers will not buy a new ICE vehicle, period.īut… but… but… I hear the many objections. The choice comes down to buy or not to buy an ICE vehicle. But it is really simple and not about BEVs. Many have lengthy arguments justifying their opinion on what carmakers have to do or stop doing to provide the missing BEV. In the comments section of this and other websites I see often the discussion about what to do when there is no good fully battery-electric vehicle (BEV) available for an acceptable price. Contrary to Shakespeare’s existential question, to buy or not to buy an internal combustion car is a very simple question with an even simpler answer. ![]()
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